Weather Outlook For The “Long-Rains” (MARCH-MAY) Season 2008

Highlights:
- La- Niña conditions (cool sea surface temperatures) continue to be evident over the eastern and central equatorial Pacific Ocean.
- The west Indian Ocean has been relatively warm but has started cooling in the month of February 2008.
- Some tropical depressions have been persistent over the west Indian ocean even during month of February.
- The outlook for March to May 2008 indicates that most parts of Kenya are likely to experience near normal rainfall with a tendency towards below normal (i.e. depressed rainfall.) while Western, Nyanza Provinces and some parts Rift Valley are likely to experience near normal rainfall with a tendency towards above normal (i.e. enhanced rainfall).
- The rainfall expected in the country is likely to be poorly distributed both in time and space especially in the Arid and Semi-Arid Lands (ASALs).
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Sakai Division: Overview

Main factor that causes livelihood vulnerability in the project area is inappropriate faming methods caused by:-
Inadequate knowledge by some farmers on appropriate crop varieties;
Limited access to quality seed (most of dry land crop varieties are not commercially available).
In addition, prices of the available seeds are relatively high and this limits access to quality seed.
Limited knowledge on appropriate crop husbandry practices including effective use of climate and weather information. Read More
Teamwork is the key

Participation in, and ownership of projects by local communities is vital if it is to be sustained beyond the lifecycle of the project and also for it to have the potential of been replicated in other ASAL districts.
Self-help and “merry-go-round” groups identified as one of the key entry points in entrenching ownership and sustainability of project.
Over 60 self helps groups in Sakai sub-location and usual rivalries among Community based-organization (CBOs) also exists.
Therefore process by which groups are selected must be done in participatory and democratic manner.
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PROJECT PLAN
ACHIEVEMENTS as at 31st December 2006:
Participatory project site selection and baseline surveys
Presentation of the project concept and components for consideration and approval by the DSG
Community consultation and awareness creation through a series of 3 main community meetings (Barazas).
List of Activities
-Downscaling of weather forecasts, packaging into brochures and dissemination through community meetings, local radio announcements and a newspaper.
-Participatory selection of pilot farmers and self help groups.
-Out of the total population of 4800 people comprising approx. 500 households, 150 people attended the community selection baraza.
-An initial 60 farmers from 5 villages were selected out of which 40 were to be prioritized based on a selection criteria as follows:-
- Muiu Sublocation – 7
- Kathamba S/location – 9
- Kiteani S/location – 9
- Nthongoni S/location – 7
- Linga S/location - 8
Making a total of 40 farmers.
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